Professor David Warton

Professor David Warton

Professor
  • PhD in Ecological Statistics (Macquarie, 2003)
  • MA in Mathematical Statistics (Sydney, 1999)
  • BSc (Hons) majoring in Ecology and Pure Mathematics (Sydney, 1997)
  • Graduate Certificate in University Learning and Teaching (UNSW, 2004)
Science
School of Mathematics & Statistics

I am an ecological statistician who advances methodology for data analysis in ecology, to improve the ability of ecologists to answer important research questions. I lead the Eco-Stats group, which has attracted over $9M in ARC research funding, and is based in the School of Mathematics and Statistics and affiliated with the Evolution & Ecology Research Centre.  My cross-disciplinary research involves evaluating the methods for data analysis currently used in ecology, and where necessary, developing new methodologies to assist ecologists answer key research questions.  I also founded of Stats Central, the UNSW statistical consulting and collaboration unit.

Phone
+61 2 9385 7031
Location
School of Mathematics and Statistics University of New South Wales Sydney NSW 2052 Anita B. Lawrence Centre Room 2052
  • Books | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, Eco-Stats: Data Analysis in Ecology, Springer International Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7
  • Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Allometric Line Fitting', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 317 - 328, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_13
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'An Important Equivalence Result', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 43 - 62, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_2
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Analysing Discrete Data: The Generalised Linear Model', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 231 - 263, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_10
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Closing Advice', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 405 - 414, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_18
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Correlated Samples in Time, Space, Phylogeny…', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 151 - 179, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_7
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Design-Based Inference', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 205 - 230, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_9
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Linear Models—Anything Goes', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 81 - 106, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_4
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Mixed Effects Models', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 133 - 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_6
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Model Selection', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 107 - 132, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_5
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'More Than One Response Variable: Multivariate Analysis', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 267 - 293, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_11
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Multivariate Abundances—Inference About Environmental Associations', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 331 - 355, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_14
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Predicting Multivariate Abundances', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 357 - 368, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_15
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Regression with Multiple Predictor Variables', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 63 - 79, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_3
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Studying Co-occurrence Patterns', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 387 - 404, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_17
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Understanding Variation in Environmental Response Across Taxa', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 369 - 386, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_16
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Visualising Many Responses', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 295 - 316, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_12
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, 'Wiggly Models', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 181 - 203, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_8
    Book Chapters | 2022
    Warton DI, 2022, '“Stats 101” Revision', in Methods in Statistical Ecology, Springer International Publishing, pp. 3 - 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88443-7_1
  • Journal articles | 2024
    Chow BVY; Morgan C; Rae C; Warton DI; Novak I; Davies S; Lancaster A; Popovic GC; Rizzo RRN; Rizzo CY; Kyriagis M; Herbert RD; Bolsterlee B, 2024, 'Human lower leg muscles grow asynchronously', Journal of Anatomy, 244, pp. 476 - 485, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/joa.13967
    Journal articles | 2024
    Dovers E; Popovic GC; Warton DI, 2024, 'A fast method for fitting integrated species distribution models', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 15, pp. 191 - 203, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14252
    Journal articles | 2024
    Dovers E; Stoklosa J; Warton DI, 2024, 'Fitting Log-Gaussian Cox Processes Using Generalized Additive Model Software', American Statistician, 78, pp. 418 - 425, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2024.2316725
    Journal articles | 2024
    Hartig F; Abrego N; Bush A; Chase JM; Guillera-Arroita G; Leibold MA; Ovaskainen O; Pellissier L; Pichler M; Poggiato G; Pollock L; Si-Moussi S; Thuiller W; Viana DS; Warton DI; Zurell D; Yu DW, 2024, 'Novel community data in ecology-properties and prospects', Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 39, pp. 280 - 293, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2023.09.017
    Journal articles | 2024
    O'Brien T; Warton D; Falster D, 2024, 'Yes, they're all individuals: Hierarchical models for repeat survey data improve estimates of tree growth and size', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14463
    Journal articles | 2024
    Williams C; Yang Y; Lagisz M; Morrison K; Ricolfi L; Warton DI; Nakagawa S, 2024, 'Transparent reporting items for simulation studies evaluating statistical methods: Foundations for reproducibility and reliability', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 15, pp. 1926 - 1939, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14415
    Journal articles | 2023
    Dovers E; Brooks W; Popovic GC; Warton DI, 2023, 'Fast, Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Log-Gaussian Cox Processes', Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 32, pp. 1660 - 1670, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2023.2182311
    Journal articles | 2023
    Hui FKC; Warton DI; Foster SD; Haak CR, 2023, 'Spatiotemporal joint species distribution modelling: A basis function approach', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 14, pp. 2150 - 2164, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14184
    Journal articles | 2023
    Luo M; Ji Y; Warton D; Yu DW, 2023, 'Extracting abundance information from DNA-based data', Molecular Ecology Resources, 23, pp. 174 - 189, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1755-0998.13703
    Journal articles | 2023
    Maslen B; Popovic G; Lim M; Marzinelli E; Warton D, 2023, 'How many sites? Methods to assist design decisions when collecting multivariate data in ecology', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 14, pp. 1564 - 1573, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14094
    Journal articles | 2023
    Stoklosa J; Hwang WH; Warton DI, 2023, 'A general algorithm for error-in-variables regression modelling using Monte Carlo expectation maximization', PLoS ONE, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0283798
    Journal articles | 2023
    Wang H; Colin Prentice I; Wright IJ; Warton DI; Qiao S; Xu X; Zhou J; Kikuzawa K; Stenseth NC, 2023, 'Leaf economics fundamentals explained by optimality principles', Science Advances, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.add5667
    Journal articles | 2023
    Warton DI, 2023, 'Global Simulation Envelopes for Diagnostic Plots in Regression Models', American Statistician, 77, pp. 425 - 431, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2022.2139294
    Journal articles | 2022
    Kidziński Ł; Hui FKC; Warton DI; Hastie TJ, 2022, 'Generalized Matrix Factorization: efficient algorithms for fitting generalized linear latent variable models to large data arrays', Journal of Machine Learning Research, 23
    Journal articles | 2022
    Popovic GC; Hui FKC; Warton DI, 2022, 'Fast model-based ordination with copulas', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 13, pp. 194 - 202, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13733
    Journal articles | 2022
    Sentinella AT; Warton D; Sherwin WB; Offord CA; Moles AT, 2022, 'Corrigendum', Global Ecology and Biogeography, 31, pp. 1461 - 1464, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geb.13525
    Journal articles | 2021
    Griffin KJ; Hedge LH; Warton DI; Astles KL; Johnston EL, 2021, 'Modeling recreational fishing intensity in a complex urbanised estuary', Journal of Environmental Management, 279, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111529
    Journal articles | 2021
    Niku J; Hui FKC; Taskinen S; Warton DI, 2021, 'Analyzing environmental-trait interactions in ecological communities with fourth-corner latent variable models', Environmetrics, 32, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/env.2683
    Journal articles | 2021
    Noghrehchi F; Stoklosa J; Penev S; Warton DI, 2021, 'Selecting the model for multiple imputation of missing data: Just use an IC!', Statistics in Medicine, 40, pp. 2467 - 2497, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.8915
    Journal articles | 2021
    Renner IW; Warton DI; Hui FKC, 2021, 'What is the effective sample size of a spatial point process?', Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 63, pp. 144 - 158, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/anzs.12337
    Journal articles | 2020
    Nguyen R; Day J; Warton D; Lane O, 2020, 'fitzRoy - An R Package to Encourage Reproducible Sports Analysis', R JOURNAL, 12, pp. 155 - 162, https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000672776700010&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=891bb5ab6ba270e68a29b250adbe88d1
    Journal articles | 2020
    Sentinella AT; Warton DI; Sherwin WB; Offord CA; Moles AT, 2020, 'Tropical plants do not have narrower temperature tolerances, but are more at risk from warming because they are close to their upper thermal limits', Global Ecology and Biogeography, 29, pp. 1387 - 1398, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geb.13117
    Journal articles | 2019
    Niku J; Brooks W; Herliansyah R; Hui FKC; Taskinen S; Warton DI, 2019, 'Efficient estimation of generalized linear latent variable models', PLoS ONE, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0216129
    Journal articles | 2019
    Niku J; Hui FKC; Taskinen S; Warton DI, 2019, 'gllvm: Fast analysis of multivariate abundance data with generalized linear latent variable models in r', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10, pp. 2173 - 2182, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13303
    Journal articles | 2019
    Norberg A; Abrego N; Blanchet FG; Adler FR; Anderson BJ; Anttila J; Araújo MB; Dallas T; Dunson D; Elith J; Foster SD; Fox R; Franklin J; Godsoe W; Guisan A; O'Hara B; Hill NA; Holt RD; Hui FKC; Husby M; Kålås JA; Lehikoinen A; Luoto M; Mod HK; Newell G; Renner I; Roslin T; Soininen J; Thuiller W; Vanhatalo J; Warton D; White M; Zimmermann NE; Gravel D; Ovaskainen O, 2019, 'A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels', Ecological Monographs, 89, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1370
    Journal articles | 2019
    Popovic GC; Warton DI; Thomson FJ; Hui FKC; Moles AT, 2019, 'Untangling direct species associations from indirect mediator species effects with graphical models', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10, pp. 1571 - 1583, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13247
    Journal articles | 2018
    Dormann CF; Calabrese JM; Guillera-Arroita G; Matechou E; Bahn V; Bartoń K; Beale CM; Ciuti S; Elith J; Gerstner K; Guelat J; Keil P; Lahoz-Monfort JJ; Pollock LJ; Reineking B; Roberts DR; Schröder B; Thuiller W; Warton DI; Wintle BA; Wood SN; Wüest RO; Hartig F, 2018, 'Model averaging in ecology: a review of Bayesian, information-theoretic, and tactical approaches for predictive inference', Ecological Monographs, 88, pp. 485 - 504, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1309
    Journal articles | 2018
    Hui FKC; Tanaka E; Warton DI, 2018, 'Order selection and sparsity in latent variable models via the ordered factor LASSO', Biometrics, 74, pp. 1311 - 1319, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/biom.12888
    Journal articles | 2018
    Popovic GC; Hui FKC; Warton DI, 2018, 'A general algorithm for covariance modeling of discrete data', Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 165, pp. 86 - 100, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmva.2017.12.002
    Journal articles | 2018
    Stoklosa J; Warton DI, 2018, 'A Generalized Estimating Equation Approach to Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines', Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 27, pp. 245 - 253, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2017.1360780
    Journal articles | 2018
    Warton DI, 2018, 'Why you cannot transform your way out of trouble for small counts', Biometrics, 74, pp. 362 - 368, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/biom.12728
    Journal articles | 2018
    Wu YQ; Arsecularatne JA; Warton DI; Hoffman M, 2018, 'Effect of contact load upon attrition-corrosion of human dental enamel', Wear, 414-415, pp. 101 - 108, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wear.2018.08.005
    Journal articles | 2017
    Barrett KB; Haynes JM; Warton DI, 2017, 'Thirty years of change in a benthic macroinvertebrate community of southwestern Lake Ontario after invasion by four Ponto-Caspian species', Freshwater Science, 36, pp. 90 - 102, http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/689576
    Journal articles | 2017
    Dawson SK; Kingsford RT; Berney P; Keith DA; Hemmings FA; Warton DI; Waters C; Catford JA, 2017, 'Frequent inundation helps counteract land use impacts on wetland propagule banks', Applied Vegetation Science, 20, pp. 459 - 467, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/avsc.12295
    Journal articles | 2017
    Dawson SK; Warton DI; Kingsford RT; Berney P; Keith DA; Catford JA, 2017, 'Plant traits of propagule banks and standing vegetation reveal flooding alleviates impacts of agriculture on wetland restoration', Journal of Applied Ecology, 54, pp. 1907 - 1918, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12922
    Journal articles | 2017
    Hui FKC; Warton DI; Ormerod JT; Haapaniemi V; Taskinen S, 2017, 'Variational Approximations for Generalized Linear Latent Variable Models', Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 26, pp. 35 - 43, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2016.1164708
    Journal articles | 2017
    Niku J; Warton DI; Hui FKC; Taskinen S, 2017, 'Generalized Linear Latent Variable Models for Multivariate Count and Biomass Data in Ecology', Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 22, pp. 498 - 522, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13253-017-0304-7
    Journal articles | 2017
    Roberts DR; Bahn V; Ciuti S; Boyce MS; Elith J; Guillera-Arroita G; Hauenstein S; Lahoz-Monfort JJ; Schröder B; Thuiller W; Warton DI; Wintle BA; Hartig F; Dormann CF, 2017, 'Cross-validation strategies for data with temporal, spatial, hierarchical, or phylogenetic structure', Ecography, 40, pp. 913 - 929, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecog.02881
    Journal articles | 2017
    Warton DI; Hui FKC, 2017, 'The central role of mean-variance relationships in the analysis of multivariate abundance data: a response to Roberts (2017)', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8, pp. 1408 - 1414, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12843
    Journal articles | 2017
    Warton DI; McGeoch MA, 2017, 'Technical advances at the interface between ecology and statistics: improving the biodiversity knowledge generation workflow', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8, pp. 396 - 397, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12762
    Journal articles | 2017
    Warton DI; Stoklosa J; Guillera-Arroita G; MacKenzie DI; Welsh AH, 2017, 'Graphical diagnostics for occupancy models with imperfect detection', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 8, pp. 408 - 419, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12761
    Journal articles | 2017
    Warton DI; Thibaut L; Wang YA, 2017, 'The PIT-trap — A “model-free” bootstrap procedure for inference about regression models with discrete, multivariate responses', PLoS ONE, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0181790
    Journal articles | 2016
    Lyons MB; Keith DA; Warton DI; Somerville M; Kingsford RT, 2016, 'Model-based assessment of ecological community classifications', Journal of Vegetation Science, 27, pp. 704 - 715, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jvs.12400
    Journal articles | 2016
    Warton DI; Blanchet FG; O'Hara R; Ovaskainen O; Taskinen S; Walker SC; Hui FKC, 2016, 'Extending Joint Models in Community Ecology: A Response to Beissinger et al.', Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 31, pp. 737 - 738, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2016.07.007
    Journal articles | 2016
    Warton DI; Lyons M; Stoklosa J; Ives AR, 2016, 'Three points to consider when choosing a LM or GLM test for count data', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 7, pp. 882 - 890, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12552
    Journal articles | 2015
    Gibb H; Muscat D; Binns MR; Silvey CJ; Peters RA; Warton DI; Andrew NR, 2015, 'Responses of foliage-living spider assemblage composition and traits to a climatic gradient in Themeda grasslands', Austral Ecology, 40, pp. 225 - 237, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aec.12195
    Journal articles | 2015
    Gibb H; Stoklosa J; Warton DI; Brown AM; Andrew NR; Cunningham SA, 2015, 'Does morphology predict trophic position and habitat use of ant species and assemblages?', Oecologia, 177, pp. 519 - 531, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00442-014-3101-9
    Journal articles | 2015
    Hui FKC; Taskinen S; Pledger S; Foster SD; Warton DI, 2015, 'Model-based approaches to unconstrained ordination', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, pp. 399 - 411, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12236
    Journal articles | 2015
    Hui FKC; Warton DI; Foster SD, 2015, 'Community level models, finite mixture models, penalized likelihood, regularization, species archetype models, variable selection', Annals of Applied Statistics, 9, pp. 866 - 882, http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/15-AOAS813
    Journal articles | 2015
    Hui FKC; Warton DI; Foster SD, 2015, 'Order selection in finite mixture models: Complete or observed likelihood information criteria?', Biometrika, 102, pp. 724 - 730, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asv027
    Journal articles | 2015
    Hui FKC; Warton DI; Foster SD, 2015, 'Tuning Parameter Selection for the Adaptive Lasso Using ERIC', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 110, pp. 262 - 269, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2014.951444
    Journal articles | 2015
    Renner IW; Elith J; Baddeley A; Fithian W; Hastie T; Phillips SJ; Popovic G; Warton DI, 2015, 'Point process models for presence-only analysis', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, pp. 366 - 379, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12352
    Journal articles | 2015
    Stoklosa J; Daly C; Foster SD; Ashcroft MB; Warton DI, 2015, 'A climate of uncertainty: Accounting for error in climate variables for species distribution models', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, pp. 412 - 423, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12217
    Journal articles | 2015
    Warton D, 2015, 'New opportunities at the interface between ecology and statistics', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, pp. 363 - 365, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12345
    Journal articles | 2015
    Warton DI; Blanchet FG; O'Hara RB; Ovaskainen O; Taskinen S; Walker SC; Hui FKC, 2015, 'So Many Variables: Joint Modeling in Community Ecology', Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 30, pp. 766 - 779, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2015.09.007
    Journal articles | 2015
    Warton DI; Foster SD; De’ath G; Stoklosa J; Dunstan PK, 2015, 'Model-based thinking for community ecology', Plant Ecology, 216, pp. 669 - 682, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11258-014-0366-3
    Journal articles | 2015
    Warton DI; Shipley B; Hastie T, 2015, 'CATS regression - a model-based approach to studying trait-based community assembly', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 6, pp. 389 - 398, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12280
    Journal articles | 2014
    Baeten L; Warton DI; Van Calster H; De Frenne P; Verstraeten G; Bonte D; Bernhardt-Römermann M; Cornelis J; Decocq G; Eriksson O; Hédl R; Heinken T; Hermy M; Hommel P; Kirby K; Naaf T; Petřík P; Walther GR; Wulf M; Verheyen K, 2014, 'A model-based approach to studying changes in compositional heterogeneity', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 5, pp. 156 - 164, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12137
    Journal articles | 2014
    Brown AM; Warton DI; Andrew NR; Binns M; Cassis G; Gibb H, 2014, 'The fourth-corner solution - using predictive models to understand how species traits interact with the environment', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 5, pp. 344 - 352, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12163
    Journal articles | 2014
    Slavich E; Warton DI; Ashcroft MB; Gollan JR; Ramp D, 2014, 'Topoclimate versus macroclimate: How does climate mapping methodology affect species distribution models and climate change projections?', Diversity and Distributions, 20, pp. 952 - 963, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12216
    Journal articles | 2014
    Stoklosa J; Gibb H; Warton DI, 2014, 'Fast forward selection for generalized estimating equations with a large number of predictor variables', Biometrics, 70, pp. 110 - 120, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/biom.12118
    Journal articles | 2013
    Dunstan PK; Foster SD; Hui FKC; Warton DI, 2013, 'Finite Mixture of Regression Modeling for High-Dimensional Count and Biomass Data in Ecology', Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 18, pp. 357 - 375, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13253-013-0146-x
    Journal articles | 2013
    Flores-Moreno H; Thomson FJ; Warton DI; Moles AT; Flores Moreno H, 2013, 'Are Introduced Species Better Dispersers Than Native Species? A Global Comparative Study of Seed Dispersal Distance', PLoS ONE, 8, pp. e68541, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0068541
    Journal articles | 2013
    Hui FKC; Warton DI; Foster SD; Dunstan PK, 2013, 'To mix or not to mix: Comparing the predictive performance of mixture models vs. separate species distribution models', Ecology, 94, pp. 1913 - 1919, http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/12-1322.1
    Journal articles | 2013
    Madon B; Warton DI; Araújo MB, 2013, 'Community-level vs species-specific approaches to model selection', Ecography, 36, pp. 1291 - 1298, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2013.00127.x
    Journal articles | 2013
    Renner I; Warton DI, 2013, 'Equivalence of MAXENT and Poisson Point Process Models for Species Distribution Modeling in Ecology', Biometrics, 69, pp. 274 - 281, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2012.01824.x
    Journal articles | 2013
    Taskinen S; Warton DI, 2013, 'Robust tests for one or more allometric lines', Journal of Theoretical Biology, 333, pp. 38 - 46, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2013.05.010
    Journal articles | 2013
    Warton D; Aarts G, 2013, 'Advancing our thinking in presence-only and used-available analysis', Journal of Animal Ecology, 82, pp. 1125 - 1134, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12071
    Journal articles | 2013
    Warton DI; Renner IW; Ramp D, 2013, 'Model-based control of observer bias for the analysis of presence-only data in ecology', PLoS ONE, 8, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0079168
    Journal articles | 2012
    Ashcroft MB; Gollan J; Warton DI; Ramp D, 2012, 'A novel approach to quantify and locate potential microrefugia using topoclimate, climate stability, and isolation from the matrix', Global Change Biology, 18, pp. 1866 - 1879, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02661.x
    Journal articles | 2012
    Moles AT; Flores-Moreno H; Bonser SP; Warton DI; Helm A; Warman L; Eldridge DJ; Jurado E; Hemmings F; Reich P; Cavender-Bares J; Seabloom EW; Mayfield MM; Sheil D; Djietror JC; Peri PL; Enrico L; Cabido MR; Setterfield SA; Lehmann CE; Thomson FJ, 2012, 'Invasions: The trail behind, the path ahead, and a test of a disturbing idea', Journal of Ecology, 100, pp. 116 - 127, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01915.x
    Journal articles | 2012
    Wang Y; Naumann U; Wright ST; Warton DI, 2012, 'mvabund - an R package for model-based analysis of multivariate abundance data', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, pp. 471 - 474, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2012.00190.x
    Journal articles | 2012
    Warton DI; Duursma RA; Falster DS; Taskinen S, 2012, 'SMATR 3 - an R package for estimation and inference about allometric lines', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, pp. 257 - 259, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00153.x
    Journal articles | 2012
    Warton DI; Wright ST; Wang Y, 2012, 'Distance-based multivariate analyses confound location and dispersion effects', Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 3, pp. 89 - 101, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00127.x
    Journal articles | 2011
    Moles AT; Wallis IR; Foley WJ; Warton DI; Stegen JC; Bisigato AJ; Cella-pizarro L; Clark CJ; Cohen PS; Cornwell WK; Edwards W; Ejrnaes R; Gonzales-Ojeda T; Graae BJ; Hay G; Lumbwe FC; Magana-Rodriguez B; Moore BD; Peri PL; Poulsen JR; Veldtman R; von Zeipel H; Andrew NR; Boulter SL; Borer ET; Campon FF; Coll M; Farji-Brener AG; De Gabriel J; Jurado E; Kyhn LA; Low B; Mulder CPH; Reardon-Smith K; Rodriguez-Velazquez J; Seabloom EW; Vesk PA; van Cauter A; Waldram MS; Zheng Z; Blendinger PG; Enquist BJ; Facelli JM; Knight T; Majer JD; Martinez-Ramos M; Mcquillan P; Prior LD, 2011, 'Putting plant resistance traits on the map: a test of the idea that plants are better defended at lower latitudes', New Phytologist, 191, pp. 777 - 788
    Journal articles | 2011
    Onoda Y; Westoby M; Adler PB; Choong AMF; Clissold FJ; Cornelissen JHC; Diaz S; Dominy NJ; Elgart A; Enrico L; Fine PVA; Howard JJ; Jalili A; Kitajima K; Kurokawa H; McArthur C; Lucas PW; Markesteijn L; Perez-Harguindeguy N; Poorter L; Richards L; Santiago LS; Sosinski Jr EE; Van Bael SA; Warton DI; Wright IJ; Joseph Wright S; Yamashita N, 2011, 'Global patterns of leaf mechanical properties', Ecology Letters, 14, pp. 301 - 312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01582.x
    Journal articles | 2011
    Taskinen S; Warton DI, 2011, 'Robust estimation and inference for bivariate line-fitting in allometry', Biometrical Journal, 53, pp. 652 - 672, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201000018
    Journal articles | 2011
    Warton DI; Guttorp P, 2011, 'Compositional analysis of overdispersed counts using generalized estimating equations', Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 18, pp. 427 - 446, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10651-010-0145-9
    Journal articles | 2011
    Warton DI, 2011, 'Regularized sandwich estimators for analysis of high-dimensional data using generalized estimating equations', Biometrics, 67, pp. 116 - 123, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2010.01438.x
    Journal articles | 2011
    Warton DI, 2011, 'The arcsine is asinine: the analysis of proportions in ecology', Ecology, 92, pp. 3 - 10
    Journal articles | 2010
    Constantinou NE; Rogers TL; Laffan SW; Warton DI, 2010, 'Determining the spatial distribution of an Antarctic top predator using passive acoustics.', The Journal of the Acoustical Society of America, 127, pp. 1825 - 1825, http://dx.doi.org/10.1121/1.3384228
    Journal articles | 2010
    Warton DI; Shepherd LC, 2010, 'Correction note: Poisson point process models solve the “pseudo-absence problem” for presence-only data in ecology', Annals of Applied Statistics, 4, pp. 2203 - 2204, http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS331CORR
    Journal articles | 2010
    Warton DI; Shepherd LC, 2010, 'Poisson point process models solve the “pseudo-absence problem" for presence-only data in ecology', Annals of Applied Statistics, 4, pp. 1383 - 1402, http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS331
    Journal articles | 2009
    Moles AT; Warton DI; Warman L; Swenson N; Laffan SW; Zanne A; Pitman AJ; Hemmings F; Leishman M, 2009, 'Global patterns in plant height', Journal of Ecology, 97, pp. 923 - 932, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2745.2009.01526.x
    Journal articles | 2008
    Warton DI, 2008, 'Penalized normal likelihood and ridge regularization of correlation and covariance matrices', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 103, pp. 340 - 349
    Journal articles | 2008
    Warton DI, 2008, 'Raw data graphing: an informative but under-utilized tool for the analysis of multivariate abundances', Austral Ecology, 33, pp. 290 - 300
    Journal articles | 2008
    Warton DI, 2008, 'Which Wald statistic? Choosing a parameterization of the Wald statistic to maximize power in k-sample generalized estimating equations', Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 138, pp. 3269 - 3282
    Journal articles | 2007
    Forster MA; Warton DI, 2007, 'A metacommunity-scale comparison of species-abundance distribution models for plant communities of eastern Australia', Ecography, 30, pp. 449 - 458
    Journal articles | 2007
    Lusk C; Warton DI, 2007, 'Global meta-analysis shows that relationships of leaf mass per area with species shade tolerance depend on leaf habit and ontogeny', New Phytologist, 176, pp. 764 - 774
    Journal articles | 2007
    Warton DI, 2007, 'How many words do you know? An integrated assesment task for introductory statistics students', Journal of Statistics Education, 15
    Journal articles | 2007
    Warton DI, 2007, 'Robustness to failure of assumptions of tests for a common slope amongst several allometric lines a simulation study', Biometrical Journal, 49, pp. 286 - 299
    Journal articles | 2006
    Warton DI; Wright I; Falster D; Westoby M, 2006, 'Bivariate line-fitting methods for allometry', Biological Reviews, 81, pp. 259 - 291
    Journal articles | 2006
    Weisbecker V; Warton DI, 2006, 'Evidence at hand: Diversity, functional implications, and locomotor prediction in intrinsic hand proportions of Doprotodtian marsupials', Journal of Morphology, 267, pp. 1469 - 1485
    Journal articles | 2005
    Ramp D; Caldwell J; Edwards KA; Warton DI; Croft DB, 2005, 'Modelling of wildlife fatality hotspots along the Snowy Mountain Highway in New South Wales, Australia', Biological Conservation, 126, pp. 474 - 490
    Journal articles | 2005
    Warton DI, 2005, 'Many zeros does not mean zero inflation: comparing the goodness-of-fit of parametric models to multivariate abundance data', Environmetrics, 16, pp. 275 - 289
    Journal articles | 2005
    Wright I; Reich P; Cornelissen J; Falster D; Garnier E; Hikosaka K; Lamont B; Lee WY; Oleksyn J; Osada N; Poorter H; Villar R; Warton DI; Westoby M, 2005, 'Assessing the generality of global leaf trait relationships', New Phytologist, 166, pp. 485 - 496
    Journal articles | 2005
    Wright I; Reich P; Cornelissen J; Falster D; Groom P; Hikosaka K; Lee W; Lusk C; Niinemets U; Oleksyn J; Poorter H; Warton DI; Westoby M, 2005, 'Modulation of leaf economic traits and trait relationships by climate', Global Ecology and Biogeography, 14, pp. 411 - 421
    Journal articles | 2004
    Moles AT; Warton DI; Stevens R; Westoby M, 2004, 'Does a latitudinal gradient in seedling survival favour larger seeds inthe tropics?', Ecology Letters, 7, pp. 911 - 914
    Journal articles | 2004
    Vest PA; Warton DI; Westoby M, 2004, 'Sprouting by semi-arid plants: testing a dichotomy and predictive traits', Oikos, 107, pp. 72 - 89
    Journal articles | 2004
    Warton DI; Hudson H, 2004, 'A manova statistic is just as powerful as distance-based statistics,for multivariate abundances', Ecology, 85, pp. 858 - 874
    Journal articles | 2003
    Moles AT; Warton DI; Westoby M, 2003, 'Do small-seeded species have higher survival through seed predation than large-seeded species?', Ecology, 84, pp. 3148 - 3161, http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/02-0662
    Journal articles | 2003
    Moles AT; Warton DI; Westoby M, 2003, 'Seed size and survival in the soil in arid Australia', Austral Ecology, 28, pp. 575 - 585
    Journal articles | 2003
    Warton DI; Wardle GM, 2003, 'Site-to-site variation in the demography of a fire-affected perennial, Acacia suaveolens, at Ku-ring-gai Chase National Park, New South Wales, Australia', Austral Ecology, 28, pp. 38 - 47
    Journal articles | 2002
    Warton DI; Weber NC, 2002, 'Common slope tests for bivariate errors-in-variables models', Biometrical Journal, 44, pp. 161 - 174, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/1521-4036(200203)44:2<161::AID-BIMJ161>3.0.CO;2-N
    Journal articles | 2000
    Westoby M; Warton D; Reich PB, 2000, 'The Time Value of Leaf Area.', Am Nat, 155, pp. 649 - 656, http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/303346
    Journal articles | 1997
    Pattinson GS; Warton DI; Misman R; McGee PA, 1997, 'The fungicides terrazole and terraclor and the nematicide fenamiphos have little effect on root colonisation by Glomus mosseae and growth of cotton seedlings', Mycorrhiza, 7, pp. 155 - 159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s005720050175
  • Preprints | 2024
    Hartig F; Abrego N; Bush A; Chase JM; Guillera-Arroita G; Leibold MA; Ovaskainen O; Pellissier L; Pichler M; Poggiato G; Pollock L; Si-Moussi S; Thuiller W; Viana DS; Warton DI; Zurell D; Yu DW, 2024, Novel community data in ecology -- properties and prospects, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2401.10860
    Preprints | 2024
    Maslen B; Popovic G; Verges A; Marzinelli E; Warton D, 2024, How many sites? Methods to assist design decisions when collecting multivariate data in ecology, http://dx.doi.org/10.22541/au.170669637.74281860/v1
    Preprints | 2024
    McGillycuddy M; Popovic G; Bolker BM; Warton DI, 2024, Parsimoniously Fitting Large Multivariate Random Effects in glmmTMB, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2411.04411
    Preprints | 2024
    O’Brien T; Warton D; Falster D, 2024, Yes, they’re all individuals: Hierarchical models from repeat measurement data improve estimates of tree growth and size, http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2024.08.27.609830
    Conference Papers | 2022
    Chow BVY; Bolsterlee B; Morgan C; Rae C; Warton DI; Novak I; Davies S; Lancaster A; Popovic GC; Rizzo RRN; Rizzo CY; Kyriagis M; Smith M; Muling E; Herbert RD, 2022, 'Three-dimensional architecture and diffusion properties of the medial gastrocnemius muscle in human infants in vivo', in ISMRM Annual Meeting, ISMRM, presented at Joint Annual Meeting ISMRM-ESMRMB ISMRT 31st Annual Meeting, 07 May 2022 - 12 May 2022, http://dx.doi.org/10.58530/2022/3094
    Preprints | 2022
    Maslen B; Popovic G; Vergés A; Marzinelli E; Warton D, 2022, How many sites? Methods to assist design decisions when collecting multivariate data in ecology, , http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2206.09524
    Preprints | 2020
    Kidziński Ł; Hui FKC; Warton DI; Hastie T, 2020, Generalized Matrix Factorization: efficient algorithms for fitting generalized linear latent variable models to large data arrays, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2010.02469
    Conference Papers | 2002
    WARTON D; HUDSON M, 2002, 'HYPOTHESIS TESTING OF MULTIVARIATE ABUNDANCE DATA', in Advances in Statistics, Combinatorics and Related Areas, WORLD SCIENTIFIC, pp. 349 - 360, presented at Proceedings of the Wollongong Conference, http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/9789812776372_0031

  • 2024-26 ARC Discovery Project ($401,287) Hui F, Menendez P, Warton DI, Woolley S & Foster S “Modern statistical methods for clustering community ecology data”
  • 2021-23 ARC Discovery Project ($410,000) Warton DI & Stoklosa J "Innovative statistical methods for analysing high-dimensional counts"
  • 2019-24 ARC Training Centre ($3,900,000) S Cripps, L Marshall, F Ramos, G Wardle, D Tao, M Girolami, R Kohn, E Cripps, M Lindsay, I Oppermann, D Warton, J Webster, M Korbel, T Salles, E Tanaka, R Scalzo, F Johnson, JP Gosling, R Chandra, A Greenville, V Hirst, R Vervoort, J Bell, J Black, M Jessell, K Czarnota, L Azizi, L Gibson, N Symington, P Dupen, Martin Gallagher “ARC Training Centre in Data Analytics for Resources and Environments (DARE)”
  • 2019-23 NHMRC grant ($933,605) Herbert R, Novak I, Rae C, Warton DI, Bolsterlee B, Morgan C, "Muscle growth and muscle contracture in cerebral palsy"
  • 2018-2020 ARC Discovery Project ($371,923) Warton DI, "New insights from point event data in ecology"
  • 2015-2018 ARC Linkage Project ($556,256) Keith D, Phinn S, Elith RJ, Warton DI, Connolly D, "Advancing vegetation classification and mapping to meet conservation needs"
  • 2015-2017 ARC Discovery Grant ($259,500) Warton DI, "Advances in biodiversity modelling - analysis of high-dimensional counts"
  • 2012-2016 ARC Future Fellowship ($624,856) Warton DI, "Predicting the ecological impacts of climate change: advancing tools for the analysis of high-dimensional data in ecology"
  • 2012-2014 ARC Discovery Project ($300,000) Warton DI "New approaches to predictive modelling of high-dimensional count data to study climate impacts on ecological communities"
  • 2010-2013 ARC Linkage Grant ($401,000) Ramp D, Warton DI, Jenkins KM, Ashcroft MB, Gollan JR, Driver P "Innovative approaches to identifying regional responses of biodiversity to climate change"
  • 2009-2011 ARC Discovery Project ($282,000) Warton DI "Advances in statistical methods for analysing high dimensional count data"
  • 2009-2011 ARC Discovery Project ($300,000) Warton DI, Andrew NR & Gibb H "Predicting the effect of climate change on community structure and function: an assessment using temperate grassland invertebrates"
  • 2008 UNSW Goldstar Award ($30,000) Warton DI "Advances in statistical methods for analysing community abundance data in the environmental sciences"
  • 2007-2009 ARC Linkage Project ($450,000) Kingsford RT, Laffan SW, Warton DI, Merson JA, Bradstock RA, Mulley R, Auld TD & Chapple RS "Managing Ecosystem Change in the Greater Blue Mountains World Heritage Area"
  • 2007 UNSW Goldstar Award ($40,000)Warton DI "Advances in statistical methods for analysing community abundance data in the environmental sciences"

2025-27 Australian Research Council College of Experts

2019-22 Highly Cited Researcher (Web of Science group)

2020 Fellow of the Royal Society of New South Wales

2014 Christopher Heyde Medal (for contributions to statistics and probability theory), Australian Academy of Sciences

2014 Young Investigator Award, American Statistical Association (Section on Statistics and the Environment)

2009 NSW/ACT Young Tall Poppy Award for research achievement and science communication

2005 Learning and Teaching Award, UNSW Faculty of Science

  • Evaluate methods for study design and analysis currently used in ecology
  • Where necessary, develop new methodologies to assist ecologists answer key research questions (sometimes new types of questions that have never been answered before)

My cross-disciplinary research is primarily of a statistical nature but it involves collaborating with ecologists as well as statisticians and researchers from related disciplines, nationally and internationally. Although my research is grounded in ecological questions, it ranges from applied to quite theoretical, with methodological contributions to multivariate analysis (for applications in allometry), high-dimensional data analysis (for applications in community ecology), model selection and point process modelling (for species distribution modelling). But I would be willing to try my hand at pretty much any challenging methodological problem arising in ecology!

Academic lead of Stats Central

Associate Editor, Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics

Associate Editor, Annals of Applied Statistics

My Research Supervision

Ben Maslen (2021-), Using machine learning to classifying fish from videos 

Sam Mason (2021-), Spatio-temporal species distribution modelling

Farwa Saleem (2024-), Simulation-based inference about variance components

Shaoqian Huang (2024-), Model-based assessment of functional and phylogenetic diversity

For more details see Eco-Stats - People.

My Teaching

MATH5935 - Statistical Consultancy.

MATH2089 - Numerical Methods and Statistics

DATA3001 - Data Science and Decisions in Practice